Hey, Gold Bug! Welcome to the Inferno! (GLD,TSLA,GS,XLF,FB)

It didn’t take long, that’s for sure.   Once the mighty Trump landed in the White House, it was time for Quinn the Eskimo and his merry band of goldphiles to turn-tail and run.   Apparently.   And while we may see a bounce here in the precious metals near-term, the fires of hell are only now being stoked for gold lovers – may they endure their agony gracefully.   Either that, of course, or they can sell. We had a friend several years ago who refused to heed our warning about an imminent selloff in the PMs.  He had just loaded up on silver as the metal was topping, and we warned him strenuously against the move.  Every sign and symbol associated with that metal was screaming ‘overbought’ at that hour, but this fella thought he knew better.  He piled his own life savings on top his father’s, which he was also managing, and spoke about the fortunes he was about to make.   After that, we spoke less.  He was embarrassed, and we understood.  When we did meet, he would ask our opinion, whether we thought the metal had bottomed, or if it was close to bottoming. We…

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CONFIDENCE RETURNS! [MONEY FOLLOWS] (GS,GDX,IYT,FB,UUP)

Not even Donald Trump shoots from the hip like we do at Normandy.   You will not get any straighter answers delivered on things that matter, without all the blather and hype, as you do here.   And more than that, you get it with a dash of humor, too!   So count yourselves among the luckiest, and possibly richest sons’a’birches in the investment world.  And all thanks to us.  The planet’s wisest and humblest newsletter publishers. You’ll remember that some three weeks back we tipped you off regarding the market’s likeliest reaction to a Trump victory vs. a Hillary win.  We even drew a picture for you that the bigwigs in management decided to post on our website.   The chart looked like this – Now, there’s no need to repeat ourselves and comment a second time on the extreme genius at work here in the halls of the Normandy Mansion, Maryland’s chic-est corporate castle, situated in the heart of the east coast’s grandest neighborhood, a Gatsbean delight if there ever was one.   But you no doubt noticed that the left hand chart that we developed prior to the election bears a striking – some would say ‘eerily…

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Facebook DeFANGed (FB)

If we were uppity and boastful, we’d say something like, ‘It’s all unfolding exactly according to plan.’  But those words feel more like a comic book villain’s than our own.  So in order to avoid coming off two-dimensional and making a laughingstock of ourselves, we’ll just say that we’re still that same group of chipper, brilliant prognosticators you always knew, and you’re damned lucky we don’t charge you more for the service.   ARSE!   That said, we’re of course talking about Facebook, and their extraordinary fall from grace last week, a development that we’ve noted in the charts for the last three months, that we’ve recently written no less than three trades on, and that today we intend to profit from like a pack of mad British bulldogs in the noonday sun.   So take that, Hieronymous! For those who missed it, Facebook shares tumbled some ten percent last week, and we’re not waiting to see if there’s any more to come.  We could just as well see a bounce after a cliff-dive like that, so here’s the wind-up.  We hope you paid heed and were in on it.   The first trade was launched on August 16th in…

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Hillary Dumping Arsenic in Orphanage Drinking Water! (FB,TSLA)

The war is on.   And not only is our water muddier for it, our minds have also gone fuzzy.   We won’t make light of these elections; there’s obviously a lot at stake here.  And though it may not make a tremendous difference for the country fifteen or twenty years down the road, at this moment the differences between the two candidates couldn’t be starker.   They may never have been.   In fact, as far as modern democracies go, it’s not likely since Juniper Redbottom defeated Harryass Chewman in the Canadian federal elections of 1871 that such a wide chasm existed between competing platforms. As many may already know, that election was later deemed a fraud by authorities and was summarily re-balloted with new candidates.  It seems our northern neighbors were not impressed with the spanky campaigns waged by the two, both of whom later admitted to be members of a Moonie-like cult that engaged in patently un-western derriere devotions.   Oh my! Lunar Lovers!   It’s all a bit frustrating of course, to watch the market drift sideways, awaiting the catalyst that will eventually send it Apollo-like to its ultimate orbital space-stop.  Could it be the election…

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Keel-Haul the President! (FB,TSLA,KOL,SPY)

Truth is, we get a little P’d-off every time this quadrennial drama of presidentiality falls upon us.   The reason for the ire is part philosophy, part real life, and we’re going to take a moment to explain it to you.   For starters, know it well – any time someone appeals to you about the need for all of us to be ‘brothers’ or to ‘stand united’ or any other such drivel, they’re almost always looking for someone to take orders.   Their ideas, their orthodoxy, and your backside … to take the whip.   It’s an iron rule, and you should run as fast and as far from these people as you can.  Very often, they’re people who talk a lot, too – another quality that should trip your hair-triggers and make you flee to Appalachia.  Quiet people are almost always more trustworthy.  Not to a man.  But on the whole, they’re a much safer bet, in our experience. What gets under our skin is the increasingly meddlesome nature of the state and the incomprehensible tolerance of so much of the voting public to put up with it.  We won’t delve much deeper than that, except to ask,…

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Media Perfidy! (FB)

There’s a great deal of difference between a man who’s knowledgeable about a broad scope of subjects – a college professor, say, or a journalist – and the actual things he professes or writes about.   Take politics, for instance.  A great many men study and write about the subject, but that doesn’t mean they know how to do it.  Send a’one of them out on the hustings and see how long they last…  Ho! Ho!   No way.  Politics is made for people who have no concern whatever for what others say or think about them.  It takes what some people call a ‘thick skin’ to survive in the business, though we prefer to call it what it really is: a callous, sociopathic outlook on everything save one’s public image.  That is to say, if accused of being a liar, or a thief, or a bigamist, the savvy politician will not for a moment consider the truth or falsehood of the claim.  Rather, he’ll just worry about how to respond such that his image comes out with a minimum of tarnishing.   That means saying or doing ANYTHING to achieve the goal. Those who write about the political game,…

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Don’t Miss the Boat (MSFT,TSLA,GLD,FB,FXI)

With the biggest turnaround in the stock market in 80 years now upon us, the greatest danger facing investors is no longer being invested in equities – it’s rather missing out on what could BE a profoundly successful investing year.   That’s right, despite Wall Street’s worst start to a year ever, the major indexes have now sprung back into the black for 2016, and that has folks looking over their shoulders, wondering if it behooves them to do like their neighbors and colleagues and get back into the investment saddle. We just can’t go out anymore…   Now, whether the turnaround is due to the latest round of earnings, which were far better than expected, or the latest fed-meddling, or because folks are genuinely getting used to the Donald’s hair, is immaterial to us.   We prefer to look at the scoreboard.   And the bottom line is – we got too deeply oversold.   Chase the Market – Without Losing Your Head   The greatest profits are made from market-following systems, and we do our best to give you that here at Normandy.  We don’t find it necessary to spot the turns precisely – because there’s no need.  Our…

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Call a Freakin’ Doctor! (NFLX,FB,TYL,MSFT)

Just a few reminders…   Back in the fall of 2008, when the indexes were almost at their bear market lows, and the situation looked as dire as it’s ever been, we saw an unprecedented government intervention and knew immediately that the markets would be buoyed and eventually lifted to new highs.   We repeated our claim numerous times in the months that followed, and those who heeded the call when the market was off nearly 50% from its peak are today sitting in the lap of luxury, not owing a penny in debt, howling like the pack of mother-stuffing money badgers that they are!   And today, we’ve come full circle.   We’re now witnessing a growing crisis of confidence in the market, but this time it’s with the ability of those same government interventionists to maintain the upward trajectory of the market. With the S&P 500 now off some 10% from its all-time highs, and other sectors even more, the question on everyone’s lips is whether we’re in for a repeat of the 2008/09 bounce, or that’s it, kaputski, sorry Charlie, g’bye.   The Rise of the Bears   Oh, the bears have their arguments, to be sure….

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The Changing of the Guard (TYL,FB,FXI)

It was a pleasant, sunny day back in September that we issued you, our dear readers, a challenge for year’s end.   The letter was called A Challenge to the People, and in it we asked to know where y’all saw things ending up – everything from the S&P 500 to oil to the dollar to the World Series. For whatever you had the prognosticating acumen, we challenged you to step forth.   And we, too, offered closing projections for 2015 at that time.   Here’s how we made out. The Final Tally: from Hugh L. O’Haynew – Investment Icon/Show-Biz Impresario/Financial Wunderkind DJIA At the time, everything had just fallen slap-ass lower, so there was little hope of a blockbuster move occurring here, but we thought things would end better. We wrote: “Look for the Dow to break again above 18,000, but not by much.” That’s for sure. The old gal got as high as 17,970 in early November (damn close!), but trailed off since then to finish the year at 17,425. GRADE: B   Gold In September we hadn’t much hope for the metal, commenting that “Precious metals are the tundra of the investment world today – barren, cold…

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If You’re Gonna Do it, Do it Right! (FB)

We’ve long been of the opinion that certain nations just have an inborn aptitude for certain activities. The Brazilians, as you know, are natural music-makers and knock-out with a beach volleyball, the Irish – comedic wizards, the Icelandic – knitting wunderkinds, Canadians – hockey hotshots, and the Chinese…   Well, until recently we debated what the Chinese genius was, as they have a great wealth of national skill and accomplishments. But over the last few months the whole thing became crystal clear, as we were shown beyond any mite of a doubt, that the Chinese are plainly the planet’s foremost market fixers.   Easy, Bruce.   More than self-defense, even more than wall-making, China knows better than anyone else on the planet how to…ahem, repair a broken market.   Are you casting aspersions, Hugh!?   By no means. There are simply jurisdictions that understand how to deal with a falling market and are not ashamed to act when necessary in an open and un-muddled way.   China happens to be one of those places. There, if you speak badly about the prospects for equities or, heaven forbid, sell your equities, or encourage others to do so, you get arrested. Simple,…

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